Saturday 14 December 2013

replies to queries


Q. Can you tell what price I should enter a trade from the charts you post.

A. No, I do not give financial advice and the point of this blog is to give you information on how you can do it yourself. Hire a signal service or managed fund if you want the easy route.


Q. How long does it take to learn to make money at trading?

A. Impossible to say, some people make it within a few years, others spend many many years and others will never make it. On average 15% of retail traders do make it. But most media reports are of the massive failures, because bad news sells better than good news.


Q. I notice price takes less time to fall than it does rise. Why is this?

A. Humans are generally negative in their outlook and when something as important as your money is being lost in a falling market, people will close the position and not take a hit. Market timing of entries and exits would eliminate much of that problem, which is how pro money make money.


Q. Can I trade with x amount?

A. You can trade with one penny if you wish, but it will never amount to anything. You need a few thousand USD or Euro to even scrape a living from trading. Not all trades will win and managing money on small accounts is critical, there simply is such little margin for losses that climbing back up from losses will be tough.


Q. Why dont you use indicators?

A. I have no desire to trade like the 85% of retail traders and loose. Price is the only indicator I need and plotted against time as a candle suits me just fine. All indicators have price somewhere in their make up as a variable and a math function built around that. Why manipulate price into a nonsensical distracting indicator and pretend it is a confirming signal when there are more accurate ways to see price shown as a candle?


Q. What time frame should I trade?

A. One that is suitable to your funds and risk appetite. You cannot trade high time frames with low funded accounts and you wont be able to take draw down either. If you work during the day you cannot trade anything less than a daily chart, unless your boss has no problem with you using company time to trade.


Q. Are there times in the market when it is risky?

A. The market is always a risky place and anything can happen. But the announced ahead of time news releases are common times around which not to place trades. Price can swing wildly on news releases and you can chose to close open trades, tighten stops or take profits and adjust position size.


Q. Do robots work?

A. Ask me again on April 1st.


Q. How does high frequency trading work.

A. They are very expensive trading robots costing one million+ dollars and the algorithms are trade secrets. The hint is the secret part.


Q. What is the best pair to trade?

A. Pick one and learn how it works, all pairs have a character and get to grips with it over time. The spread of the pair can also be a factor such as non majors where the cost in trading them in the spread alone is expensive.


Q. I keep getting into trades which work for a short time, then reverse and stop me out. What am I doing wrong?

A. The obvious answer is the most logical one. You entered in the wrong direction and at the wrong time. Your chart reading skills need work. The right thing you done was having a hard stop set.


Q. Sometimes I sit watching the charts and waiting for an entry, when suddenly the market takes off without me and I cant get an entry.

A. New guy alert!......you should know well in advance which direction you want to go and a narrow price range where you will place the trade. If you dont do this you will ultimately loose your funds. When price moves suddenly and keeps on going, it is likely it is from higher time frame cycles. All is not lost once you can find where the next probable area is for price to react, and wait for a pull back before that. If price moved in the direction opposite to where you thought it was going to go, its time for more chart reading time and find out the reason why you picked the wrong direction.


Q. I get bored waiting for big moves and want to scalp on the 1 and 5 minute charts and pull even a few pips out of the market.

A. Good luck with that and if you can make money doing it, you will be only the third guy ever that I know of who managed to pull it off. Given the broker spread and the narrow ranges involved it is a tough way to trade and what is helpful is having a healthy heart and be mentally stable. Because soon into scalping you may develop problems in either of those areas!

And to be correct the term I use in Points. Percentage in point (pip). Forex traders really destroy the meaning of what is already defined.






12 comments:

  1. HI Doc and everyone, thanks for keeping mail address and sending me an invitation for your new blog. I hope this is the right place for this. Doc can you talk more about what you consider "real" support/resistance? I found your posts about that very valuable. Maybe you can consider that when posting new charts/ expand on that a little bit?

    Christian

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  2. As more charting information comes around I can add to anything that is unclear. Without feedback I am posting blind and it is good to know what people have trouble with and the reason why the last post went up.

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  3. Hi Doc, All your posts are greatly appreciated. I'd like to know more about how you would trade if you had a full time job but were able to glance at the market at irregular times and make quick trades. Also assume that some draw down is acceptable. I currently hold long positions in EUR/USD and AUD/USD. Would love to know your continued perspective on these markets. Many Thanks.

    Vogon

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  4. Doc, you're a great trader and I enjoy your posts. They're highly informative and give insight into applied S/D trading.

    One thing though.. you suffer from the forex world grammar mistake of confusing loose with lose.

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  5. Hi Doctor,
    I was wondering what pairs you trade? I still get confused as to what pro money hiding their intentions with orders at the end of a trend (into HTF S/R) actually looks like. Do you have rules around this like, price in a downtrend, into a HTF area of supply, do you wait for a higher high on the daily to prove the intent of pro buyers?

    Paul

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  6. Hi Doctor,

    I think we better have a forum like site. So that our traders can post their charts and seek others opinion. And also we can import your all old posts from other forums and archive it here for other newcomers to grasp your style.

    Anyone who is not aware who is Doctor, he is purely generous soul who spent countless hours and posted lengthy time consuming posts without expecting anything from others on other forums( i don't wanna mention the site ). He has inspired lots of traders and brought them to his level. Many of us loves him purely for his generosity. And also for his great trading style. He is the only PA reader so far i know.

    Thanks doctor.

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  7. Hi Doctor

    Only recently discovered your blog after reading your thread on another forum.
    thanks for posting your analysis of how to approach trading on that other thread. And especially your emphasis of analysing monthly, weekly etc candles
    I look forward to reading your posts here

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  8. I have no interest in setting up a forum, it is far too much effort and distracts me from what I do better. If people need interaction with others for opinion, I see that as a negative. Forums soon turn into a business and you need to put in the time to look after it, or hire people to do the work. I can put the odd post on a blog in minimal time, manage a forum which is a full time job and take all my attention from what I should be working at......trading.

    Others cannot tell you how to learn this, only you can and it takes lots of time, patience, discipline and find your own path to formulating some method that works for you.

    A talking shop soon gets boring and filled with distractions, ego and competition between posters. It is far better in my view for anyone new to trading or an old hand who still is trying to make the break to consistent wins to take what they can and make sense of what is presented to them. No one forum, or book, or course can ever bring success. That only comes after hard work and being aware right from the outset that it will take time and forcing it wont work.

    In this age of immediate gratification, electronic speed of replies and the desire for instant knowledge, all fail you in trading. I have spoken with people who spent five figures on trading courses, attending seminars and still cant get this trading thing down. Learning anything is not about how much money you have, it is all down to how your brain can soak up the information and process it into a logical and provable sequence that works in any market condition, any time frame and any financial instrument.

    I would like to say if must do A, B, C and then X, Y, Z and your done. But trading has some many contradictions that your brain has to process each one and the many outcomes. Chess would be a close comparison.

    Many times I have been asked to put my thoughts on paper and publish them. Over the past week alone there has been over 2000 pleas for help. If that were a forum it would be even larger and unmanageable. See this from my point of view, it either is kept small, or I let this blog and me fade back into the ether.

    For the moment, blog it shall be.

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  9. Hi Doctor,

    True what you said.I am seeing every forum its happening. I saw how these so called "great traders" ready to insult and humiliate others with so much rage when something against to them put up. Now i understand why we can't have a pure democratic nation in this world.

    But i also believe when the forum moderator is only you, things will happen differently.

    OK. Lets get back to trading doctor. Nice conversation with you.i will start from A.

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  10. Please do keep this as a blog. It's great to take a look into the mind of a successful trader without the noise that a forum brings. It takes time to get the flow going on a new venture, but I like where this is headed.

    Part of the problem I find with courses and sites showing trading techniques is the lack of real life examples. There is nothing like staring at a chart and grappling with the decisions, then overlaying that with a mentor's approach. Bridging the gap between theory and practice is where the gap is and it's where your writings really shine.

    Thanks and good luck.

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  11. All successful investors and traders in the Forex and CFD markets are familiar with the name of FXB Trading. It is basically an online brokerage service that offers effective kinds of trading basics. Besides offering such essentials, it also makes it easy for traders to become successful in the trading market as it supplies them with several strategic and speculative tools that are not easy to find anywhere else on the net.

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